Betting Lines
| Spread | TENN -12.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 141.5 Over |
| Money | TENN -1000 VAN +600 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | TENN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | TENN +5 | 157 | Won |
| Massey | TENN -12.7 (-7.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 138.7 (+18.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 84% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 94% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | TENN -11.9 (-6.9) | 141.1 (+15.9) | 87% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | TENN -14.5 (-9.5) | 141.3 (+15.7) | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | TENN -13.1 (-8.1) | 138.9 (+18.1) | 86% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | TENN -11.8 (-6.8) | 141.0 (+16.0) | 88% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 13, 2026 | VAN 75 – 68 TENN |
| Mar 7, 2026 | VAN 86 – 82 TENN |
| Feb 21, 2026 | TENN 69 – 65 VAN |
| Jan 18, 2025 | VAN 76 – 75 TENN |
| Feb 17, 2024 | TENN 88 – 53 VAN |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | TENN | VAN |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 30-8 | 20-13 |
| Conference | 12-6 | 8-10 |
| Home | 16-1 | 14-3 |
| Away | 6-5 | 3-7 |
| Neutral | 8-2 | 3-3 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L4 |
| Avg Pts For | 74.0 | 78.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 63.1 | 74.3 |
| Massey | 22.3 (#6) | 12.7 (#42) |
| Bradley-Terry | 3.90 (#4) | 2.79 (#22) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 5.11 (#4) | 3.05 (#38) |
| RPI | 0.650 (#8) | 0.583 (#45) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | TENN | VAN |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.1% | 45.9% |
| 3PT% | 33.8% | 32.5% |
| REB / G | 38.2 | 35.1 |
| OREB / G | 12.3 | 11.9 |
| AST / TO | 1.44 | 1.40 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.4% | 52.4% |
| TOV% | 16.8% | 14.4% |
| ORB% | 37.5% | 32.5% |
| FT Rate | 24.0% | 23.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 43.0% | 52.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.3% | 21.4% |
| DRB% | 71.0% | 70.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.0% | 25.1% |
Game Analysis
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