Betting Lines
| Spread | TENN -2.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 146.5 Over |
| Money | TENN -155 VAN +130 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | TENN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | VAN +4 | 168 | Lost |
| Massey | TENN -2.8 (-6.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 151.7 (+16.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 60% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 57% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | TENN -4.5 (-8.5) | 148.3 (+19.7) | 69% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | TENN -4.2 (-8.2) | 148.3 (+19.7) | 75% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | TENN -3.6 (-7.6) | 150.0 (+18.0) | 71% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | TENN -4.1 (-8.1) | 149.1 (+18.9) | 75% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 13, 2026 | VAN 75 – 68 TENN |
| Feb 21, 2026 | TENN 69 – 65 VAN |
| Feb 15, 2025 | TENN 81 – 76 VAN |
| Jan 18, 2025 | VAN 76 – 75 TENN |
| Feb 17, 2024 | TENN 88 – 53 VAN |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | TENN | VAN |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 25-12 | 27-9 |
| Conference | 11-7 | 11-7 |
| Home | 14-3 | 13-3 |
| Away | 5-5 | 8-4 |
| Neutral | 6-4 | 6-2 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 78.8 | 85.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.6 | 75.0 |
| Massey | 19.4 (#17) | 19.6 (#14) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.85 (#24) | 2.95 (#22) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 3.83 (#22) | 4.12 (#15) |
| RPI | 0.595 (#30) | 0.621 (#18) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | TENN | VAN |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.7% | 47.7% |
| 3PT% | 34.1% | 35.2% |
| REB / G | 42.7 | 36.0 |
| OREB / G | 15.9 | 10.9 |
| AST / TO | 1.44 | 1.73 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.2% | 55.6% |
| TOV% | 17.5% | 13.4% |
| ORB% | 45.4% | 31.5% |
| FT Rate | 26.6% | 29.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.7% | 48.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.3% | 18.1% |
| DRB% | 72.6% | 70.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.3% | 31.9% |
Game Analysis
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