Betting Lines
| Spread | TXSO -7.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 137.0 Under |
| Money | TXSO -340 GRAM +270 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | TXSO win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | TXSO +3 | 133 | Won |
| Massey | TXSO -12.6 (-9.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 135.7 (-2.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 81% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 89% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | TXSO -11.6 (-8.6) | 137.9 (-4.9) | 86% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | TXSO -11.1 (-8.1) | 136.1 (-3.1) | 86% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | TXSO -10.8 (-7.8) | 136.7 (-3.7) | 85% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | TXSO -10.5 (-7.5) | 137.6 (-4.6) | 86% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 14, 2026 | TXSO 82 – 79 GRAM |
| Jan 6, 2026 | GRAM 84 – 67 TXSO |
| Feb 15, 2025 | TXSO 67 – 60 GRAM |
| Jan 7, 2025 | TXSO 71 – 66 GRAM |
| Mar 17, 2024 | GRAM 75 – 66 TXSO |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | TXSO | GRAM |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 19-13 | 12-20 |
| Conference | 13-5 | 9-9 |
| Home | 7-2 | 7-4 |
| Away | 8-10 | 4-14 |
| Neutral | 4-1 | 2-2 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 69.0 | 65.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 66.1 | 72.3 |
| Massey | 0.3 (#161) | -9.2 (#313) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.34 (#206) | -1.30 (#284) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.23 (#192) | -1.73 (#285) |
| RPI | 0.488 (#194) | 0.444 (#273) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | TXSO | GRAM |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.8% | 40.4% |
| 3PT% | 31.0% | 32.0% |
| REB / G | 40.0 | 34.9 |
| OREB / G | 12.8 | 9.5 |
| AST / TO | 0.70 | 0.72 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.6% | 44.8% |
| TOV% | 21.8% | 20.5% |
| ORB% | 35.3% | 26.3% |
| FT Rate | 21.3% | 26.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 46.1% | 49.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.4% | 18.7% |
| DRB% | 73.4% | 67.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.9% | 26.8% |
Game Analysis
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