Betting Lines
| Spread | GRAM -5.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 146.5 Over |
| Money | GRAM -250 TXSO +205 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | GRAM win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | GRAM +17 | 151 | Won |
| Massey | GRAM -14.0 (+3.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 151.9 (-0.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 97% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | GRAM -11.9 (+5.1) | 145.9 (+5.1) | 87% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | GRAM -10.3 (+6.7) | 144.7 (+6.3) | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | GRAM -11.4 (+5.6) | 144.2 (+6.8) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | GRAM -11.8 (+5.2) | 145.6 (+5.4) | 86% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 14, 2026 | TXSO 82 – 79 GRAM |
| Feb 15, 2025 | TXSO 67 – 60 GRAM |
| Jan 7, 2025 | TXSO 71 – 66 GRAM |
| Mar 17, 2024 | GRAM 75 – 66 TXSO |
| Feb 17, 2024 | GRAM 66 – 63 TXSO |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | GRAM | TXSO |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 14-19 | 12-18 |
| Conference | 7-11 | 10-8 |
| Home | 7-5 | 9-5 |
| Away | 4-13 | 3-12 |
| Neutral | 3-1 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 0-5 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 69.0 | 73.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.3 | 80.0 |
| Massey | -4.6 (#236) | -14.7 (#350) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.30 (#204) | -3.31 (#354) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.63 (#208) | -4.44 (#353) |
| RPI | 0.497 (#187) | 0.413 (#319) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | GRAM | TXSO |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.0% | 41.4% |
| 3PT% | 34.9% | 27.6% |
| REB / G | 29.1 | 31.1 |
| OREB / G | 8.9 | 9.1 |
| AST / TO | 0.81 | 0.57 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.1% | 45.7% |
| TOV% | 22.3% | 20.6% |
| ORB% | 28.5% | 24.3% |
| FT Rate | 34.8% | 28.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.7% | 58.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 21.0% | 15.6% |
| DRB% | 63.4% | 66.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 32.5% | 37.0% |
Game Analysis
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