Betting Lines
| Spread | TXSO -3.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 137.5 Under |
| Money | TXSO -185 GRAM +155 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | TXSO win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | TXSO +5 | 137 | Won |
| Massey | TXSO -1.7 (+3.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 139.2 (-2.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 81% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | TXSO -2.1 (+2.9) | 135.7 (+1.3) | 56% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | TXSO -1.7 (+3.3) | 137.8 (-0.8) | 56% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | TXSO -1.4 (+3.6) | 137.3 (-0.3) | 54% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | TXSO -1.0 (+4.0) | 135.6 (+1.4) | 49% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 14, 2026 | TXSO 82 – 79 GRAM |
| Jan 6, 2026 | GRAM 84 – 67 TXSO |
| Feb 15, 2025 | TXSO 67 – 60 GRAM |
| Mar 17, 2024 | GRAM 75 – 66 TXSO |
| Feb 17, 2024 | GRAM 66 – 63 TXSO |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | TXSO | GRAM |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 15-17 | 12-22 |
| Conference | 12-6 | 7-11 |
| Home | 9-4 | 6-7 |
| Away | 6-12 | 4-12 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 2-3 |
| Last 5 | 0-5 | 0-5 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.4 | 64.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.4 | 69.3 |
| Massey | -10.9 (#335) | -8.5 (#299) |
| Bradley-Terry | -3.24 (#353) | -3.92 (#362) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -4.43 (#355) | -5.50 (#363) |
| RPI | 0.390 (#339) | 0.376 (#350) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | TXSO | GRAM |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 37.8% | 42.8% |
| 3PT% | 31.3% | 32.0% |
| REB / G | 33.2 | 30.2 |
| OREB / G | 10.5 | 7.7 |
| AST / TO | 0.89 | 0.78 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 42.9% | 48.2% |
| TOV% | 19.2% | 21.7% |
| ORB% | 26.4% | 23.3% |
| FT Rate | 22.5% | 20.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 54.7% | 54.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.8% | 15.9% |
| DRB% | 63.5% | 68.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 28.3% | 24.7% |
Game Analysis
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