And with the way you look I understand you're not impressed. "Alison" - Elvis Costello
Southwestern Athletic Conference · H&PE Arena · February 17, 2024
Betting Lines
Spread TXSO -3.5 Away covered
O/U 132.5 Under
Money TXSO -163 / GRAM +170
Model Predictions
Spread Total TXSO win
Actual GRAM +3 129 Lost
Massey TXSO -6.3 (-9.3) — —
Massey Totals — 126.3 (+2.7) —
Bradley-Terry — — 70% ✗
Weighted B-T — — 67% ✗
Baseline Tuned ML TXSO -3.9 (-6.9) 132.0 (-3.0) 67% ✗
Efficiency Plus ML ★ TXSO -3.7 (-6.7) 133.6 (-4.6) 56% ✗
Baseline Plus ML TXSO -4.3 (-7.3) 133.4 (-4.4) 66% ✗
Baseline ML TXSO -4.1 (-7.1) 132.1 (-3.1) 65% ✗

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Feb 14, 2026 TXSO 82 – 79 GRAM
Jan 6, 2026 GRAM 84 – 67 TXSO
Feb 15, 2025 TXSO 67 – 60 GRAM
Jan 7, 2025 TXSO 71 – 66 GRAM
Mar 17, 2024 GRAM 75 – 66 TXSO

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings TXSO GRAM
Overall 16-17 21-15
Conference 12-6 14-4
Home 7-4 9-3
Away 6-11 7-9
Neutral 3-2 5-3
Last 5 4-1 3-2
Streak L2 L1
Avg Pts For 69.0 65.4
Avg Pts Against 71.1 69.5
Massey -6.9 (#284) -9.8 (#319)
Bradley-Terry -0.86 (#259) -1.06 (#281)
W. Bradley-Terry -1.30 (#279) -1.31 (#280)
RPI 0.470 (#230) 0.457 (#261)
Shooting & Four Factors TXSO GRAM
FG% 38.7% 41.3%
3PT% 29.0% 30.9%
REB / G 36.3 29.6
OREB / G 11.8 9.1
AST / TO 0.81 0.61
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 44.2% 45.9%
TOV% 18.5% 20.4%
ORB% 30.3% 28.3%
FT Rate 22.3% 25.3%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 48.4% 51.0%
Opp TOV% 17.6% 19.4%
DRB% 68.6% 65.6%
Opp FT Rate 29.4% 26.2%

Game Analysis

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