Betting Lines
| Spread | TXSO -1.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 139.5 Over |
| Money | TXSO -112 GRAM -108 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | TXSO win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | TXSO +3 | 161 | Won |
| Massey | GRAM -1.1 (+4.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 144.8 (+16.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 42% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 43% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | GRAM -0.1 (+3.1) | 137.4 (+23.6) | 49% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | GRAM -0.2 (+3.2) | 137.6 (+23.4) | 52% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | GRAM -0.4 (+3.4) | 139.8 (+21.2) | 47% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | GRAM -0.6 (+3.6) | 138.9 (+22.1) | 50% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 6, 2026 | GRAM 84 – 67 TXSO |
| Feb 15, 2025 | TXSO 67 – 60 GRAM |
| Jan 7, 2025 | TXSO 71 – 66 GRAM |
| Mar 17, 2024 | GRAM 75 – 66 TXSO |
| Feb 17, 2024 | GRAM 66 – 63 TXSO |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | TXSO | GRAM |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 12-18 | 14-19 |
| Conference | 10-8 | 7-11 |
| Home | 9-5 | 7-5 |
| Away | 3-12 | 4-13 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 3-1 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 73.9 | 69.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 80.0 | 71.3 |
| Massey | -12.0 (#331) | -8.0 (#291) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.91 (#326) | -1.10 (#265) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.40 (#324) | -1.53 (#277) |
| RPI | 0.410 (#328) | 0.444 (#279) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | TXSO | GRAM |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.6% | 43.2% |
| 3PT% | 33.1% | 31.8% |
| REB / G | 33.1 | 32.0 |
| OREB / G | 9.8 | 9.7 |
| AST / TO | 0.75 | 0.80 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.1% | 49.4% |
| TOV% | 18.8% | 21.6% |
| ORB% | 27.8% | 30.1% |
| FT Rate | 28.1% | 32.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 54.0% | 50.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.3% | 20.5% |
| DRB% | 67.5% | 66.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 33.2% | 29.8% |
Game Analysis
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