Hop in my Chrysler, it's as big as a whale and it's about to set sail. "Love Shack" - The B-52's
Southwestern Athletic Conference · H&PE Arena · February 14, 2026
Betting Lines
Spread TXSO -1.5 Home covered
O/U 139.5 Over
Money TXSO -112 / GRAM -108
Model Predictions
Spread Total TXSO win
Actual TXSO +3 161 Won
Massey GRAM -1.1 (+4.1)
Massey Totals 144.8 (+16.2)
Bradley-Terry 42%
Weighted B-T 43%
Baseline Plus ML GRAM -0.4 (+3.4) 139.8 (+21.2) 47%
Model 4 ML GRAM -0.2 (+3.2) 137.6 (+23.4) 52%
Model 3 ML GRAM -0.1 (+3.1) 137.4 (+23.6) 49%
Baseline ML GRAM -0.6 (+3.6) 138.9 (+22.1) 50%

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Jan 6, 2026 GRAM 8467 TXSO
Feb 15, 2025 TXSO 6760 GRAM
Jan 7, 2025 TXSO 7166 GRAM
Mar 17, 2024 GRAM 7566 TXSO
Feb 17, 2024 GRAM 6663 TXSO

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings TXSO GRAM
Overall 12-18 14-19
Conference 10-8 7-11
Home 9-5 7-5
Away 3-12 4-13
Neutral 0-1 3-1
Last 5 3-2 3-2
Streak L2 L1
Avg Pts For 73.9 69.0
Avg Pts Against 80.0 71.3
Massey -12.0 (#331) -8.0 (#291)
Bradley-Terry -1.91 (#326) -1.10 (#265)
W. Bradley-Terry -2.40 (#324) -1.53 (#277)
RPI 0.410 (#328) 0.444 (#279)
Shooting & Four Factors TXSO GRAM
FG% 43.6% 43.2%
3PT% 33.1% 31.8%
REB / G 33.1 32.0
OREB / G 9.8 9.7
AST / TO 0.75 0.80
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 49.1% 49.4%
TOV% 18.8% 21.6%
ORB% 27.8% 30.1%
FT Rate 28.1% 32.6%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 54.0% 50.2%
Opp TOV% 16.3% 20.5%
DRB% 67.5% 66.8%
Opp FT Rate 33.2% 29.8%

Game Analysis

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