Betting Lines
| Spread | TXSO -2.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 127.5 Over |
| Money | GRAM +115 TXSO -150 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | GRAM win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | GRAM +9 | 141 | Won |
| Massey | TXSO -1.6 (+10.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 128.1 (+12.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 57% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 57% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | TXSO -1.6 (+10.6) | 131.5 (+9.5) | 44% ✗ |
| Model 4 ML ★ | TXSO -0.3 (+9.3) | 133.6 (+7.4) | 48% ✗ |
| Model 3 ML | TXSO -0.4 (+9.4) | 131.2 (+9.8) | 52% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | TXSO -1.5 (+10.5) | 130.8 (+10.2) | 49% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 14, 2026 | TXSO 82 – 79 GRAM |
| Jan 6, 2026 | GRAM 84 – 67 TXSO |
| Feb 15, 2025 | TXSO 67 – 60 GRAM |
| Jan 7, 2025 | TXSO 71 – 66 GRAM |
| Feb 17, 2024 | GRAM 66 – 63 TXSO |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | GRAM | TXSO |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 21-15 | 16-17 |
| Conference | 14-4 | 12-6 |
| Home | 9-3 | 7-4 |
| Away | 7-9 | 6-11 |
| Neutral | 5-3 | 3-2 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 65.4 | 69.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.5 | 71.1 |
| Massey | -7.9 (#301) | -6.3 (#277) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.39 (#219) | -0.66 (#240) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.64 (#232) | -0.95 (#261) |
| RPI | 0.518 (#136) | 0.499 (#174) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | GRAM | TXSO |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.0% | 40.8% |
| 3PT% | 33.8% | 31.5% |
| REB / G | 30.8 | 35.4 |
| OREB / G | 8.8 | 11.0 |
| AST / TO | 0.65 | 0.89 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.9% | 46.9% |
| TOV% | 20.4% | 18.3% |
| ORB% | 28.0% | 30.1% |
| FT Rate | 27.5% | 22.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.2% | 47.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.0% | 18.1% |
| DRB% | 67.4% | 69.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.9% | 28.3% |
Game Analysis
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