Betting Lines
| Spread | GRAM -1.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 135.5 Under |
| Money | GRAM -135 TXSO +115 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | GRAM win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | TXSO +7 | 127 | Lost |
| Massey | GRAM -2.1 (-9.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 135.4 (-8.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 51% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 39% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | TXSO -0.3 (-6.7) | 132.7 (-5.7) | 50% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | TXSO -0.2 (-6.8) | 136.3 (-9.3) | 41% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | GRAM -0.2 (-7.2) | 135.9 (-8.9) | 48% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | TXSO -0.0 (-7.0) | 134.4 (-7.4) | 47% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 14, 2026 | TXSO 82 – 79 GRAM |
| Jan 6, 2026 | GRAM 84 – 67 TXSO |
| Jan 7, 2025 | TXSO 71 – 66 GRAM |
| Mar 17, 2024 | GRAM 75 – 66 TXSO |
| Feb 17, 2024 | GRAM 66 – 63 TXSO |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | GRAM | TXSO |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 12-22 | 15-17 |
| Conference | 7-11 | 12-6 |
| Home | 6-7 | 9-4 |
| Away | 4-12 | 6-12 |
| Neutral | 2-3 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 64.4 | 70.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.3 | 72.4 |
| Massey | -10.1 (#321) | -9.0 (#307) |
| Bradley-Terry | -2.45 (#344) | -1.91 (#326) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -3.07 (#344) | -1.97 (#310) |
| RPI | 0.409 (#328) | 0.413 (#325) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | GRAM | TXSO |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.1% | 40.4% |
| 3PT% | 32.3% | 33.4% |
| REB / G | 32.0 | 35.9 |
| OREB / G | 8.5 | 11.2 |
| AST / TO | 0.79 | 0.98 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.9% | 46.1% |
| TOV% | 20.5% | 18.6% |
| ORB% | 25.8% | 28.9% |
| FT Rate | 25.0% | 22.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.5% | 49.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.8% | 19.5% |
| DRB% | 69.2% | 64.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.3% | 25.5% |
Game Analysis
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