Betting Lines
| Spread | MONM -4.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 141.0 Under |
| Money | MAN +175 MONM -200 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MAN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MONM +10 | 140 | Lost |
| Massey | MONM -5.6 (-4.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 144.4 (-4.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 31% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 23% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MONM -6.1 (-3.9) | 140.4 (-0.4) | 33% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MONM -4.3 (-5.7) | 143.0 (-3.0) | 34% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | MONM -4.7 (-5.3) | 143.1 (-3.1) | 34% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MONM -4.8 (-5.2) | 144.4 (-4.4) | 33% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 21, 2023 | MONM 77 – 71 MAN |
| Dec 4, 2022 | MONM 76 – 69 MAN |
| Jan 23, 2022 | MONM 78 – 62 MAN |
| Feb 7, 2021 | MONM 71 – 69 MAN |
| Feb 6, 2021 | MONM 70 – 65 MAN |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MAN | MONM |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 15-15 | 21-13 |
| Conference | 8-12 | 11-9 |
| Home | 8-5 | 9-5 |
| Away | 4-9 | 10-7 |
| Neutral | 3-1 | 2-1 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 69.9 | 68.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 73.7 | 67.3 |
| Massey | -6.3 (#274) | 2.3 (#128) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.45 (#213) | 0.85 (#111) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.84 (#234) | 0.95 (#114) |
| RPI | 0.470 (#223) | 0.563 (#66) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MAN | MONM |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.2% | 42.3% |
| 3PT% | 30.9% | 32.7% |
| REB / G | 32.2 | 37.0 |
| OREB / G | 9.5 | 10.2 |
| AST / TO | 0.76 | 0.92 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.2% | 47.9% |
| TOV% | 20.5% | 17.8% |
| ORB% | 29.1% | 28.9% |
| FT Rate | 31.6% | 27.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.9% | 47.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.1% | 17.8% |
| DRB% | 68.3% | 73.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.5% | 23.7% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.