Betting Lines
| Spread | MONM -4.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 138.5 Over |
| Money | MAN +188 MONM -175 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MAN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MONM +2 | 140 | Lost |
| Massey | MONM -7.1 (+5.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 145.8 (-5.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 23% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 15% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MONM -3.8 (+1.8) | 141.4 (-1.4) | 25% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MONM -5.8 (+3.8) | 142.3 (-2.3) | 28% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | MONM -5.7 (+3.7) | 143.4 (-3.4) | 20% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MONM -5.6 (+3.6) | 146.4 (-6.4) | 23% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 21, 2023 | MONM 77 – 71 MAN |
| Dec 4, 2022 | MONM 76 – 69 MAN |
| Feb 12, 2022 | MONM 75 – 65 MAN |
| Jan 23, 2022 | MONM 78 – 62 MAN |
| Feb 6, 2021 | MONM 70 – 65 MAN |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MAN | MONM |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 7-13 | 12-8 |
| Conference | 6-12 | 12-6 |
| Home | 4-6 | 7-2 |
| Away | 3-6 | 5-5 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 63.4 | 76.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 67.2 | 74.3 |
| Massey | -8.1 (#290) | 1.5 (#142) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.12 (#260) | 0.53 (#134) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.65 (#271) | 0.58 (#139) |
| RPI | 0.414 (#301) | 0.570 (#59) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MAN | MONM |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 35.8% | 44.3% |
| 3PT% | 26.6% | 39.5% |
| REB / G | 36.3 | 38.0 |
| OREB / G | 12.2 | 9.5 |
| AST / TO | 0.78 | 1.09 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 41.4% | 51.3% |
| TOV% | 21.2% | 18.2% |
| ORB% | 30.5% | 25.6% |
| FT Rate | 23.0% | 25.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.1% | 47.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 23.0% | 19.9% |
| DRB% | 72.2% | 72.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 30.7% | 26.9% |
Game Analysis
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