Betting Lines
| Spread | MONM -10.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 139.5 Over |
| Money | MONM -440 MAN +335 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MONM win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MONM +6 | 148 | Won |
| Massey | MONM -12.7 (-6.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 142.4 (+5.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 88% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 96% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MONM -9.1 (-3.1) | 141.9 (+6.1) | 84% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MONM -10.9 (-4.9) | 142.8 (+5.2) | 84% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | MONM -10.8 (-4.8) | 143.1 (+4.9) | 84% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MONM -10.9 (-4.9) | 142.9 (+5.1) | 84% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 4, 2022 | MONM 76 – 69 MAN |
| Feb 12, 2022 | MONM 75 – 65 MAN |
| Jan 23, 2022 | MONM 78 – 62 MAN |
| Feb 7, 2021 | MONM 71 – 69 MAN |
| Feb 6, 2021 | MONM 70 – 65 MAN |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MONM | MAN |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 18-15 | 7-23 |
| Conference | 10-8 | 4-16 |
| Home | 13-1 | 3-10 |
| Away | 2-13 | 4-12 |
| Neutral | 3-1 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.4 | 65.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.6 | 76.1 |
| Massey | -1.0 (#190) | -9.0 (#318) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.80 (#120) | -0.25 (#208) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.06 (#114) | -1.16 (#263) |
| RPI | 0.516 (#155) | 0.517 (#153) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MONM | MAN |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.5% | 39.9% |
| 3PT% | 39.8% | 30.6% |
| REB / G | 33.1 | 34.1 |
| OREB / G | 10.5 | 9.5 |
| AST / TO | 1.07 | 0.83 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.5% | 45.3% |
| TOV% | 17.6% | 20.6% |
| ORB% | 29.6% | 24.8% |
| FT Rate | 23.3% | 14.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.3% | 53.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.8% | 17.1% |
| DRB% | 66.0% | 69.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.8% | 17.9% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.