Betting Lines
| Spread | MONM -3.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 139.5 Under |
| Money | MAN +170 MONM -163 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MAN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MONM +5 | 135 | Lost |
| Massey | MONM -7.5 (+2.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 147.7 (-12.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 27% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 16% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MONM -4.4 (-0.6) | 142.7 (-7.7) | 23% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MONM -6.5 (+1.5) | 143.0 (-8.0) | 26% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | MONM -5.9 (+0.9) | 144.6 (-9.6) | 19% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MONM -5.8 (+0.8) | 147.5 (-12.5) | 21% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 21, 2023 | MONM 77 – 71 MAN |
| Dec 4, 2022 | MONM 76 – 69 MAN |
| Feb 12, 2022 | MONM 75 – 65 MAN |
| Jan 23, 2022 | MONM 78 – 62 MAN |
| Feb 7, 2021 | MONM 71 – 69 MAN |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MAN | MONM |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 7-13 | 12-8 |
| Conference | 6-12 | 12-6 |
| Home | 4-6 | 7-2 |
| Away | 3-6 | 5-5 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 63.4 | 76.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 67.2 | 74.3 |
| Massey | -8.3 (#293) | 1.7 (#137) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.00 (#255) | 0.47 (#141) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.56 (#264) | 0.57 (#143) |
| RPI | 0.405 (#312) | 0.572 (#64) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MAN | MONM |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 35.7% | 44.2% |
| 3PT% | 27.0% | 39.9% |
| REB / G | 36.1 | 37.9 |
| OREB / G | 12.1 | 9.6 |
| AST / TO | 0.74 | 1.08 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 41.4% | 51.2% |
| TOV% | 21.6% | 17.9% |
| ORB% | 30.4% | 25.7% |
| FT Rate | 24.2% | 25.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 46.6% | 47.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 23.0% | 20.1% |
| DRB% | 71.9% | 73.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 30.6% | 28.2% |
Game Analysis
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