Betting Lines
| Spread | MAN -5.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 134.5 Over |
| Money | MAN -225 MONM +230 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MAN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MONM +7 | 145 | Lost |
| Massey | MAN -16.8 (-23.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 133.6 (+11.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 95% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 97% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MAN -8.5 (-15.5) | 136.0 (+9.0) | 75% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MAN -11.7 (-18.7) | 136.6 (+8.4) | 85% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | MAN -11.4 (-18.4) | 137.0 (+8.0) | 85% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MAN -12.5 (-19.5) | 135.2 (+9.8) | 85% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 21, 2023 | MONM 77 – 71 MAN |
| Feb 12, 2022 | MONM 75 – 65 MAN |
| Jan 23, 2022 | MONM 78 – 62 MAN |
| Feb 7, 2021 | MONM 71 – 69 MAN |
| Feb 6, 2021 | MONM 70 – 65 MAN |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MAN | MONM |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 12-18 | 7-26 |
| Conference | 10-10 | 5-13 |
| Home | 5-9 | 3-10 |
| Away | 6-7 | 3-15 |
| Neutral | 1-2 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 0-5 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 66.6 | 61.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.5 | 74.7 |
| Massey | -4.9 (#260) | -15.8 (#356) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.18 (#283) | -2.95 (#347) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.91 (#293) | -4.01 (#342) |
| RPI | 0.368 (#341) | 0.367 (#343) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MAN | MONM |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.9% | 39.2% |
| 3PT% | 29.6% | 28.0% |
| REB / G | 31.0 | 32.6 |
| OREB / G | 8.8 | 11.8 |
| AST / TO | 0.87 | 0.63 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.0% | 43.6% |
| TOV% | 22.0% | 25.4% |
| ORB% | 26.0% | 31.5% |
| FT Rate | 14.8% | 20.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.3% | 60.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 24.2% | 21.2% |
| DRB% | 59.7% | 66.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.5% | 30.9% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.