Betting Lines
| Spread | VT -8.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 144.5 Under |
| Money | VT -360 SYR +285 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | VT win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | VT +12 | 130 | Won |
| Massey | VT -6.5 (+5.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 148.4 (-18.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 65% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 73% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | VT -6.2 (+5.8) | 146.1 (-16.1) | 74% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | VT -6.0 (+6.0) | 143.2 (-13.2) | 73% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | VT -6.2 (+5.8) | 149.3 (-19.3) | 73% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | VT -6.1 (+5.9) | 150.4 (-20.4) | 73% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 22, 2026 | VT 76 – 74 SYR |
| Mar 1, 2025 | VT 101 – 95 SYR |
| Feb 28, 2024 | SYR 84 – 71 VT |
| Jan 29, 2023 | VT 85 – 70 SYR |
| Jan 12, 2023 | SYR 82 – 72 VT |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | VT | SYR |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 23-13 | 16-17 |
| Conference | 11-9 | 9-11 |
| Home | 11-4 | 11-5 |
| Away | 7-6 | 3-8 |
| Neutral | 5-3 | 2-4 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.8 | 77.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 62.8 | 75.1 |
| Massey | 11.3 (#36) | 7.9 (#66) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.07 (#94) | 0.94 (#103) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.59 (#84) | 1.17 (#105) |
| RPI | 0.549 (#87) | 0.541 (#102) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | VT | SYR |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 47.9% | 45.8% |
| 3PT% | 42.1% | 38.0% |
| REB / G | 31.7 | 36.2 |
| OREB / G | 8.4 | 10.7 |
| AST / TO | 1.29 | 1.33 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 56.5% | 53.2% |
| TOV% | 17.7% | 16.1% |
| ORB% | 28.3% | 30.1% |
| FT Rate | 16.5% | 22.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.6% | 51.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.3% | 18.1% |
| DRB% | 72.7% | 68.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 18.7% | 16.6% |
Game Analysis
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