Betting Lines
| Spread | VT -3.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 144.5 Over |
| Money | VT -170 SYR +145 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | VT win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | VT +6 | 196 | Won |
| Massey | VT -2.4 (+3.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 145.8 (+50.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 62% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 55% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | VT -1.5 (+4.5) | 144.3 (+51.7) | 58% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | VT -2.3 (+3.7) | 141.8 (+54.2) | 63% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | VT -2.3 (+3.7) | 143.5 (+52.5) | 62% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | VT -1.7 (+4.3) | 144.2 (+51.8) | 63% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 22, 2026 | VT 76 – 74 SYR |
| Feb 28, 2024 | SYR 84 – 71 VT |
| Jan 29, 2023 | VT 85 – 70 SYR |
| Jan 12, 2023 | SYR 82 – 72 VT |
| Feb 12, 2022 | VT 71 – 59 SYR |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | VT | SYR |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 13-19 | 14-19 |
| Conference | 8-12 | 7-13 |
| Home | 8-9 | 11-6 |
| Away | 5-5 | 2-9 |
| Neutral | 0-5 | 1-4 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L3 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 69.2 | 74.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 73.2 | 77.8 |
| Massey | 1.6 (#136) | 2.4 (#124) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.24 (#152) | 0.31 (#146) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.12 (#159) | 0.57 (#125) |
| RPI | 0.497 (#186) | 0.507 (#175) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | VT | SYR |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.9% | 45.3% |
| 3PT% | 35.9% | 32.7% |
| REB / G | 33.8 | 37.8 |
| OREB / G | 10.5 | 11.1 |
| AST / TO | 0.99 | 1.08 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.2% | 50.7% |
| TOV% | 19.8% | 17.5% |
| ORB% | 32.0% | 30.9% |
| FT Rate | 21.9% | 22.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.1% | 52.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.1% | 13.7% |
| DRB% | 71.8% | 73.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.5% | 22.8% |
Game Analysis
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