Betting Lines
| Spread | VT -1.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 140.5 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SYR win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SYR +10 | 154 | Won |
| Massey | VT -1.6 (+11.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 140.7 (+13.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 40% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 33% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | VT -1.2 (+11.2) | 140.9 (+13.1) | 48% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | VT -0.8 (+10.8) | 140.9 (+13.1) | 50% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | VT -0.9 (+10.9) | 141.4 (+12.6) | 47% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | VT -1.0 (+11.0) | 141.8 (+12.2) | 48% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 22, 2026 | VT 76 – 74 SYR |
| Mar 1, 2025 | VT 101 – 95 SYR |
| Feb 28, 2024 | SYR 84 – 71 VT |
| Jan 29, 2023 | VT 85 – 70 SYR |
| Feb 12, 2022 | VT 71 – 59 SYR |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SYR | VT |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 17-15 | 19-15 |
| Conference | 10-10 | 8-12 |
| Home | 11-7 | 13-4 |
| Away | 5-6 | 2-10 |
| Neutral | 1-2 | 4-1 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 74.1 | 74.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.9 | 70.1 |
| Massey | 3.2 (#122) | 9.0 (#53) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.38 (#141) | 1.51 (#63) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.60 (#130) | 2.15 (#57) |
| RPI | 0.517 (#145) | 0.577 (#57) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SYR | VT |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.0% | 46.6% |
| 3PT% | 35.6% | 34.5% |
| REB / G | 36.7 | 36.3 |
| OREB / G | 10.8 | 9.2 |
| AST / TO | 1.23 | 1.43 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.1% | 53.2% |
| TOV% | 17.1% | 14.8% |
| ORB% | 31.2% | 27.8% |
| FT Rate | 21.7% | 18.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.2% | 46.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.6% | 17.4% |
| DRB% | 65.5% | 72.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 15.8% | 16.5% |
Game Analysis
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