Betting Lines
| Spread | SYR -3.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 152.5 Under |
| Money | SYR -180 VT +150 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SYR win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | VT +2 | 150 | Lost |
| Massey | SYR -1.2 (-3.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 154.5 (-4.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 39% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 33% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SYR -1.5 (-3.5) | 150.2 (-0.2) | 59% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SYR -1.3 (-3.3) | 146.9 (+3.1) | 57% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | SYR -1.4 (-3.4) | 147.9 (+2.1) | 53% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SYR -1.7 (-3.7) | 147.7 (+2.3) | 50% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 1, 2025 | VT 101 – 95 SYR |
| Feb 28, 2024 | SYR 84 – 71 VT |
| Jan 29, 2023 | VT 85 – 70 SYR |
| Jan 12, 2023 | SYR 82 – 72 VT |
| Feb 12, 2022 | VT 71 – 59 SYR |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SYR | VT |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 15-17 | 19-13 |
| Conference | 6-12 | 8-10 |
| Home | 12-6 | 14-3 |
| Away | 2-7 | 3-7 |
| Neutral | 1-4 | 2-3 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L6 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 75.0 | 78.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 74.2 | 74.9 |
| Massey | 8.7 (#72) | 10.8 (#55) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.19 (#85) | 2.18 (#44) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.71 (#79) | 3.03 (#40) |
| RPI | 0.534 (#105) | 0.613 (#30) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SYR | VT |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 47.3% | 45.8% |
| 3PT% | 33.2% | 34.6% |
| REB / G | 36.1 | 36.6 |
| OREB / G | 10.8 | 11.7 |
| AST / TO | 1.14 | 1.44 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 53.3% | 52.5% |
| TOV% | 17.0% | 14.3% |
| ORB% | 31.4% | 32.8% |
| FT Rate | 26.0% | 27.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 45.7% | 48.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.5% | 18.4% |
| DRB% | 67.0% | 67.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.1% | 20.9% |
Game Analysis
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