Betting Lines
| Spread | VT -7.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 140.5 Over |
| Money | VT -300 SYR +225 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | VT win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | VT +15 | 155 | Won |
| Massey | VT -7.4 (+7.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 141.8 (+13.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 78% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 81% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | VT -5.9 (+9.1) | 142.8 (+12.2) | 72% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | VT -6.3 (+8.7) | 142.9 (+12.1) | 77% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | VT -6.0 (+9.0) | 143.2 (+11.8) | 71% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | VT -5.5 (+9.5) | 143.5 (+11.5) | 71% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 22, 2026 | VT 76 – 74 SYR |
| Mar 1, 2025 | VT 101 – 95 SYR |
| Feb 28, 2024 | SYR 84 – 71 VT |
| Jan 12, 2023 | SYR 82 – 72 VT |
| Feb 12, 2022 | VT 71 – 59 SYR |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | VT | SYR |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 19-15 | 17-15 |
| Conference | 8-12 | 10-10 |
| Home | 13-4 | 11-7 |
| Away | 2-10 | 5-6 |
| Neutral | 4-1 | 1-2 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 74.1 | 74.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 70.1 | 72.9 |
| Massey | 9.0 (#60) | 5.2 (#95) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.42 (#66) | 0.79 (#103) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.90 (#59) | 1.21 (#91) |
| RPI | 0.572 (#60) | 0.538 (#108) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | VT | SYR |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.4% | 46.9% |
| 3PT% | 34.8% | 37.0% |
| REB / G | 35.2 | 36.3 |
| OREB / G | 8.8 | 10.6 |
| AST / TO | 1.45 | 1.32 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 53.0% | 52.2% |
| TOV% | 15.2% | 16.7% |
| ORB% | 26.6% | 31.0% |
| FT Rate | 17.9% | 21.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.6% | 48.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.0% | 19.4% |
| DRB% | 73.2% | 66.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 17.3% | 16.5% |
Game Analysis
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