Betting Lines
| Spread | SYR -1.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 154.5 Over |
| Money | SYR -125 VT +100 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SYR win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SYR +13 | 155 | Won |
| Massey | VT -0.5 (+13.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 150.6 (+4.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 73% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 71% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SYR -0.7 (+12.3) | 150.8 (+4.2) | 64% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SYR -0.4 (+12.6) | 149.2 (+5.8) | 60% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SYR -1.3 (+11.7) | 150.3 (+4.7) | 60% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | SYR -1.5 (+11.5) | 152.0 (+3.0) | 65% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 22, 2026 | VT 76 – 74 SYR |
| Mar 1, 2025 | VT 101 – 95 SYR |
| Jan 29, 2023 | VT 85 – 70 SYR |
| Jan 12, 2023 | SYR 82 – 72 VT |
| Feb 12, 2022 | VT 71 – 59 SYR |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SYR | VT |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 20-12 | 19-15 |
| Conference | 11-9 | 10-10 |
| Home | 14-2 | 15-2 |
| Away | 4-7 | 2-10 |
| Neutral | 1-3 | 2-3 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 75.4 | 74.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 76.3 | 71.0 |
| Massey | 5.9 (#92) | 9.7 (#53) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.79 (#49) | 1.44 (#70) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.10 (#53) | 1.88 (#62) |
| RPI | 0.588 (#37) | 0.554 (#81) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SYR | VT |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.8% | 46.0% |
| 3PT% | 32.9% | 35.4% |
| REB / G | 33.0 | 32.4 |
| OREB / G | 8.8 | 7.7 |
| AST / TO | 1.18 | 1.34 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.5% | 53.5% |
| TOV% | 15.8% | 16.6% |
| ORB% | 24.6% | 25.3% |
| FT Rate | 24.7% | 27.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.7% | 50.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.9% | 17.4% |
| DRB% | 67.8% | 73.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 18.9% | 21.8% |
Game Analysis
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