Betting Lines
| Spread | CREI -3.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 140.5 Over |
| Money | GTWN +170 CREI -200 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | GTWN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | CREI +14 | 146 | Lost |
| Massey | CREI -5.0 (-9.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 143.6 (+2.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 12% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 8% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | CREI -3.5 (-10.5) | 141.4 (+4.6) | 28% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | CREI -4.2 (-9.8) | 140.8 (+5.2) | 27% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | CREI -4.6 (-9.4) | 141.2 (+4.8) | 27% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | CREI -4.1 (-9.9) | 140.6 (+5.4) | 28% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 5, 2026 | GTWN 76 – 68 CREI |
| Jan 14, 2026 | CREI 86 – 83 GTWN |
| Feb 23, 2025 | CREI 80 – 69 GTWN |
| Dec 18, 2024 | GTWN 81 – 57 CREI |
| Feb 14, 2024 | CREI 94 – 72 GTWN |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | GTWN | CREI |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 6-25 | 23-12 |
| Conference | 0-19 | 12-7 |
| Home | 6-11 | 11-4 |
| Away | 0-11 | 6-5 |
| Neutral | 0-3 | 6-3 |
| Last 5 | 0-5 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L21 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.7 | 69.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 77.0 | 66.4 |
| Massey | -1.0 (#186) | 7.0 (#81) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.51 (#222) | 1.96 (#46) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.43 (#206) | 2.58 (#39) |
| RPI | 0.459 (#247) | 0.559 (#73) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | GTWN | CREI |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.0% | 44.8% |
| 3PT% | 36.6% | 30.2% |
| REB / G | 37.9 | 38.3 |
| OREB / G | 12.5 | 9.9 |
| AST / TO | 0.91 | 0.87 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.6% | 50.4% |
| TOV% | 19.6% | 21.3% |
| ORB% | 32.4% | 29.2% |
| FT Rate | 20.7% | 18.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.8% | 45.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.9% | 16.2% |
| DRB% | 70.5% | 71.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 19.4% | 15.0% |
Game Analysis
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