Betting Lines
| Spread | CREI -4.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 145.5 Under |
| Money | GTWN +155 CREI -185 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | GTWN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | GTWN +24 | 138 | Won |
| Massey | GTWN -1.1 (+22.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 142.0 (-4.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 61% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 38% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | GTWN -2.9 (+21.1) | 141.6 (-3.6) | 63% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | GTWN -0.9 (+23.1) | 146.3 (-8.3) | 65% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | GTWN -3.3 (+20.7) | 142.9 (-4.9) | 70% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | GTWN -2.8 (+21.2) | 142.8 (-4.8) | 66% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 5, 2026 | GTWN 76 – 68 CREI |
| Jan 14, 2026 | CREI 86 – 83 GTWN |
| Feb 23, 2025 | CREI 80 – 69 GTWN |
| Feb 14, 2024 | CREI 94 – 72 GTWN |
| Jan 3, 2024 | CREI 77 – 60 GTWN |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | GTWN | CREI |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 18-16 | 25-11 |
| Conference | 8-12 | 15-5 |
| Home | 14-5 | 15-2 |
| Away | 3-9 | 6-6 |
| Neutral | 1-2 | 4-3 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.0 | 75.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.6 | 70.0 |
| Massey | 5.9 (#86) | 9.1 (#63) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.02 (#94) | 1.38 (#76) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.88 (#116) | 2.26 (#66) |
| RPI | 0.563 (#78) | 0.557 (#88) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | GTWN | CREI |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.1% | 47.0% |
| 3PT% | 28.7% | 33.3% |
| REB / G | 37.2 | 39.9 |
| OREB / G | 12.5 | 8.4 |
| AST / TO | 1.38 | 1.28 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.5% | 55.5% |
| TOV% | 17.1% | 19.3% |
| ORB% | 34.6% | 26.0% |
| FT Rate | 18.2% | 24.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 46.4% | 44.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 22.3% | 12.4% |
| DRB% | 71.4% | 72.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 19.8% | 13.8% |
Game Analysis
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