Betting Lines
| Spread | CREI -8.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 147.5 Over |
| Money | CREI -410 GTWN +320 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | CREI win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | CREI +3 | 169 | Won |
| Massey | CREI -12.6 (-9.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 150.2 (+18.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 84% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | CREI -10.6 (-7.6) | 145.9 (+23.1) | 86% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | CREI -11.6 (-8.6) | 150.8 (+18.2) | 85% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | CREI -11.5 (-8.5) | 147.0 (+22.0) | 84% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | CREI -10.9 (-7.9) | 147.1 (+21.9) | 84% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 5, 2026 | GTWN 76 – 68 CREI |
| Feb 23, 2025 | CREI 80 – 69 GTWN |
| Dec 18, 2024 | GTWN 81 – 57 CREI |
| Feb 14, 2024 | CREI 94 – 72 GTWN |
| Jan 3, 2024 | CREI 77 – 60 GTWN |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | CREI | GTWN |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 16-18 | 16-18 |
| Conference | 9-11 | 6-14 |
| Home | 10-6 | 10-7 |
| Away | 4-8 | 4-8 |
| Neutral | 2-4 | 2-3 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 75.2 | 73.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 75.2 | 72.9 |
| Massey | 11.5 (#49) | 2.4 (#132) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.74 (#60) | 0.66 (#117) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.36 (#61) | 1.07 (#101) |
| RPI | 0.586 (#49) | 0.513 (#147) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | CREI | GTWN |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.2% | 42.8% |
| 3PT% | 34.5% | 30.6% |
| REB / G | 37.1 | 37.2 |
| OREB / G | 10.2 | 11.8 |
| AST / TO | 1.46 | 1.58 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 54.6% | 48.0% |
| TOV% | 16.4% | 13.5% |
| ORB% | 30.2% | 31.7% |
| FT Rate | 20.0% | 32.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.3% | 49.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 14.1% | 17.4% |
| DRB% | 69.5% | 70.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 15.0% | 28.6% |
Game Analysis
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