Betting Lines
| Spread | CREI -13.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 147.0 Under |
| Money | GTWN +600 CREI -900 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | GTWN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | CREI +17 | 137 | Lost |
| Massey | CREI -12.5 (-4.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 150.7 (-13.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 35% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 30% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | CREI -10.2 (-6.8) | 145.0 (-8.0) | 21% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | CREI -11.6 (-5.4) | 147.0 (-10.0) | 16% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | CREI -9.4 (-7.6) | 145.5 (-8.5) | 18% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | CREI -10.4 (-6.6) | 145.7 (-8.7) | 19% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 5, 2026 | GTWN 76 – 68 CREI |
| Jan 14, 2026 | CREI 86 – 83 GTWN |
| Feb 23, 2025 | CREI 80 – 69 GTWN |
| Dec 18, 2024 | GTWN 81 – 57 CREI |
| Feb 14, 2024 | CREI 94 – 72 GTWN |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | GTWN | CREI |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 9-23 | 25-10 |
| Conference | 2-18 | 14-6 |
| Home | 7-12 | 14-2 |
| Away | 2-10 | 8-4 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 3-4 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L5 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.8 | 80.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 77.9 | 69.9 |
| Massey | -0.6 (#174) | 16.5 (#7) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.13 (#191) | 1.41 (#72) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.28 (#158) | 2.18 (#56) |
| RPI | 0.477 (#218) | 0.585 (#47) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | GTWN | CREI |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.0% | 49.5% |
| 3PT% | 35.4% | 37.5% |
| REB / G | 37.5 | 39.6 |
| OREB / G | 12.4 | 9.2 |
| AST / TO | 0.95 | 1.50 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.4% | 58.8% |
| TOV% | 20.3% | 16.4% |
| ORB% | 34.8% | 29.2% |
| FT Rate | 26.4% | 20.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.1% | 45.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.8% | 11.2% |
| DRB% | 68.1% | 75.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 19.7% | 10.3% |
Game Analysis
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