Betting Lines
| Spread | CREI -19.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 149.5 Over |
| Money | CREI -8000 GTWN +1400 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | CREI win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | CREI +22 | 166 | Won |
| Massey | CREI -20.3 (+1.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 153.5 (+12.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 96% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 98% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | CREI -16.9 (+5.1) | 153.5 (+12.5) | 90% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | CREI -18.7 (+3.3) | 156.6 (+9.4) | 90% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | CREI -17.3 (+4.7) | 154.6 (+11.4) | 90% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | CREI -17.9 (+4.1) | 154.6 (+11.4) | 90% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 5, 2026 | GTWN 76 – 68 CREI |
| Jan 14, 2026 | CREI 86 – 83 GTWN |
| Feb 23, 2025 | CREI 80 – 69 GTWN |
| Dec 18, 2024 | GTWN 81 – 57 CREI |
| Jan 3, 2024 | CREI 77 – 60 GTWN |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | CREI | GTWN |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 25-10 | 9-23 |
| Conference | 14-6 | 2-18 |
| Home | 14-2 | 7-12 |
| Away | 8-4 | 2-10 |
| Neutral | 3-4 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 0-5 |
| Streak | L1 | L5 |
| Avg Pts For | 80.4 | 70.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.9 | 77.9 |
| Massey | 15.8 (#14) | -1.1 (#182) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.09 (#36) | -0.54 (#224) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.81 (#25) | -0.27 (#193) |
| RPI | 0.595 (#36) | 0.449 (#271) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | CREI | GTWN |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 48.4% | 41.6% |
| 3PT% | 35.7% | 33.8% |
| REB / G | 39.0 | 34.8 |
| OREB / G | 8.5 | 12.4 |
| AST / TO | 1.56 | 0.99 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 57.0% | 48.6% |
| TOV% | 15.4% | 18.3% |
| ORB% | 26.1% | 34.0% |
| FT Rate | 19.4% | 25.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 45.8% | 53.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 11.0% | 16.9% |
| DRB% | 75.4% | 68.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 12.2% | 22.5% |
Game Analysis
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