Betting Lines
| Spread | GTWN -1.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 146.5 Under |
| Money | GTWN -130 CREI +110 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | GTWN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | GTWN +8 | 144 | Won |
| Massey | GTWN -0.1 (+7.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 149.5 (-5.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 57% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 63% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | GTWN -2.2 (+5.8) | 143.0 (+1.0) | 61% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | GTWN -1.9 (+6.1) | 145.8 (-1.8) | 62% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | GTWN -1.6 (+6.4) | 145.4 (-1.4) | 64% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | GTWN -2.2 (+5.8) | 143.8 (+0.2) | 61% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 14, 2026 | CREI 86 – 83 GTWN |
| Feb 23, 2025 | CREI 80 – 69 GTWN |
| Dec 18, 2024 | GTWN 81 – 57 CREI |
| Feb 14, 2024 | CREI 94 – 72 GTWN |
| Jan 3, 2024 | CREI 77 – 60 GTWN |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | GTWN | CREI |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 16-18 | 16-18 |
| Conference | 6-14 | 9-11 |
| Home | 10-7 | 10-6 |
| Away | 4-8 | 4-8 |
| Neutral | 2-3 | 2-4 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 73.6 | 75.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.9 | 75.2 |
| Massey | 5.5 (#100) | 8.4 (#74) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.11 (#83) | 1.36 (#74) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.67 (#77) | 1.74 (#74) |
| RPI | 0.531 (#112) | 0.559 (#68) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | GTWN | CREI |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.3% | 46.1% |
| 3PT% | 32.8% | 34.3% |
| REB / G | 35.9 | 35.4 |
| OREB / G | 11.1 | 9.9 |
| AST / TO | 1.50 | 1.47 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.0% | 54.5% |
| TOV% | 14.4% | 15.9% |
| ORB% | 32.0% | 29.1% |
| FT Rate | 29.2% | 20.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.1% | 51.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.2% | 13.7% |
| DRB% | 69.0% | 68.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 26.4% | 15.6% |
Game Analysis
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