Betting Lines
| Spread | CREI -13.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 145.5 Over |
| Money | CREI -1200 GTWN +700 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | CREI win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | CREI +11 | 149 | Won |
| Massey | CREI -9.8 (+1.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 139.2 (+9.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 87% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 91% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | CREI -9.0 (+2.0) | 141.3 (+7.7) | 82% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | CREI -12.5 (-1.5) | 146.1 (+2.9) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | CREI -9.2 (+1.8) | 143.1 (+5.9) | 81% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | CREI -9.2 (+1.8) | 143.0 (+6.0) | 81% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 5, 2026 | GTWN 76 – 68 CREI |
| Jan 14, 2026 | CREI 86 – 83 GTWN |
| Dec 18, 2024 | GTWN 81 – 57 CREI |
| Feb 14, 2024 | CREI 94 – 72 GTWN |
| Jan 3, 2024 | CREI 77 – 60 GTWN |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | CREI | GTWN |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 25-11 | 18-16 |
| Conference | 15-5 | 8-12 |
| Home | 15-2 | 14-5 |
| Away | 6-6 | 3-9 |
| Neutral | 4-3 | 1-2 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 75.5 | 72.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 70.0 | 69.6 |
| Massey | 14.0 (#35) | 7.3 (#80) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.26 (#38) | 0.91 (#95) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.77 (#43) | 1.15 (#93) |
| RPI | 0.588 (#40) | 0.516 (#152) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | CREI | GTWN |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 47.2% | 45.0% |
| 3PT% | 34.1% | 30.6% |
| REB / G | 37.5 | 36.3 |
| OREB / G | 8.1 | 11.7 |
| AST / TO | 1.34 | 1.19 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 55.7% | 50.5% |
| TOV% | 18.4% | 18.3% |
| ORB% | 25.5% | 33.6% |
| FT Rate | 22.4% | 18.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 45.5% | 47.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 12.0% | 20.7% |
| DRB% | 72.1% | 70.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 13.0% | 22.3% |
Game Analysis
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