Betting Lines
| Spread | BRY -2.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 162.0 Over |
| Money | LIU +115 BRY -135 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | LIU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | LIU +11 | 187 | Won |
| Massey | LIU -0.8 (+10.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 160.1 (+26.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 34% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 36% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | BRY -0.3 (+11.3) | 160.9 (+26.1) | 54% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | LIU -0.4 (+10.6) | 157.1 (+29.9) | 49% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | BRY -0.1 (+11.1) | 158.4 (+28.6) | 52% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | BRY -0.7 (+11.7) | 156.7 (+30.3) | 49% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 30, 2022 | BRY 88 – 81 LIU |
| Feb 26, 2021 | BRY 63 – 60 LIU |
| Feb 26, 2021 | BRY 87 – 80 LIU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | LIU | BRY |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 16-14 | 22-10 |
| Conference | 12-6 | 16-2 |
| Home | 12-1 | 14-1 |
| Away | 4-13 | 8-7 |
| Neutral | 0-0 | 1-2 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 5-0 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 73.8 | 76.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 74.3 | 74.0 |
| Massey | -5.5 (#262) | -3.1 (#230) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.47 (#293) | -0.31 (#202) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.61 (#278) | -0.45 (#207) |
| RPI | 0.464 (#233) | 0.512 (#157) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | LIU | BRY |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.1% | 42.3% |
| 3PT% | 30.9% | 30.1% |
| REB / G | 39.0 | 40.0 |
| OREB / G | 12.4 | 12.6 |
| AST / TO | 1.10 | 0.98 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.4% | 49.0% |
| TOV% | 19.4% | 19.1% |
| ORB% | 31.3% | 32.8% |
| FT Rate | 18.7% | 23.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.5% | 48.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.0% | 16.5% |
| DRB% | 70.4% | 66.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.2% | 16.8% |
Game Analysis
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