Betting Lines
| Spread | BRY -5.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 164.5 Over |
| Money | BRY -200 LIU +210 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | BRY win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | BRY +7 | 167 | Won |
| Massey | BRY -8.7 (-1.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 161.4 (+5.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 76% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 83% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | BRY -6.2 (+0.8) | 154.3 (+12.7) | 72% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | BRY -7.3 (-0.3) | 154.0 (+13.0) | 78% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | BRY -7.6 (-0.6) | 153.0 (+14.0) | 75% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | BRY -7.7 (-0.7) | 154.6 (+12.4) | 75% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 12, 2022 | LIU 99 – 88 BRY |
| Jan 30, 2022 | BRY 88 – 81 LIU |
| Feb 26, 2021 | BRY 63 – 60 LIU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | BRY | LIU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 15-7 | 9-9 |
| Conference | 10-4 | 9-9 |
| Home | 10-1 | 6-3 |
| Away | 5-5 | 3-6 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L2 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 81.2 | 74.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 75.3 | 72.9 |
| Massey | 3.4 (#118) | -2.9 (#216) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.71 (#118) | -0.05 (#174) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.04 (#105) | -0.11 (#177) |
| RPI | 0.564 (#66) | 0.484 (#194) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | BRY | LIU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.9% | 41.7% |
| 3PT% | 38.9% | 29.6% |
| REB / G | 39.9 | 39.8 |
| OREB / G | 10.6 | 13.8 |
| AST / TO | 0.97 | 1.13 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 53.9% | 47.6% |
| TOV% | 21.1% | 19.9% |
| ORB% | 29.2% | 34.1% |
| FT Rate | 27.1% | 21.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 46.9% | 50.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.1% | 20.8% |
| DRB% | 68.8% | 72.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 18.7% | 18.9% |
Game Analysis
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