Betting Lines
| Spread | BRY -5.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 156.0 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | BRY win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | BRY +7 | 169 | Won |
| Massey | BRY -4.5 (+2.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 158.0 (+11.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 80% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 82% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | BRY -6.1 (+0.9) | 156.2 (+12.8) | 74% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | BRY -4.6 (+2.4) | 154.5 (+14.5) | 70% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | BRY -4.4 (+2.6) | 153.8 (+15.2) | 71% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | BRY -4.0 (+3.0) | 155.6 (+13.4) | 73% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 12, 2022 | LIU 99 – 88 BRY |
| Feb 26, 2021 | BRY 63 – 60 LIU |
| Feb 26, 2021 | BRY 87 – 80 LIU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | BRY | LIU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 22-10 | 16-14 |
| Conference | 16-2 | 12-6 |
| Home | 14-1 | 12-1 |
| Away | 8-7 | 4-13 |
| Neutral | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 76.6 | 73.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 74.0 | 74.3 |
| Massey | -3.6 (#236) | -4.8 (#251) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.60 (#226) | -1.44 (#287) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.62 (#215) | -1.55 (#274) |
| RPI | 0.486 (#188) | 0.458 (#245) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | BRY | LIU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.8% | 41.1% |
| 3PT% | 29.9% | 31.7% |
| REB / G | 39.3 | 38.6 |
| OREB / G | 12.4 | 12.4 |
| AST / TO | 1.00 | 1.03 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.6% | 47.7% |
| TOV% | 19.3% | 20.3% |
| ORB% | 32.0% | 31.7% |
| FT Rate | 21.9% | 17.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.5% | 49.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.3% | 20.1% |
| DRB% | 67.1% | 69.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 16.5% | 21.3% |
Game Analysis
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