Betting Lines
| Spread | SF -1.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 149.0 Under |
| Money | SCU -105 SF -115 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SCU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SF +16 | 132 | Lost |
| Massey | SF -0.2 (-15.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 152.5 (-20.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 51% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 40% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SF -0.5 (-15.5) | 152.0 (-20.0) | 51% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SCU -1.0 (-17.0) | 153.3 (-21.3) | 55% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | SCU -1.6 (-17.6) | 153.5 (-21.5) | 53% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SCU -0.7 (-16.7) | 152.8 (-20.8) | 57% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 22, 2026 | SCU 94 – 73 SF |
| Jan 29, 2026 | SCU 88 – 73 SF |
| Jan 12, 2025 | SCU 77 – 54 SF |
| Dec 31, 2024 | SF 97 – 94 SCU |
| Mar 3, 2024 | SCU 69 – 62 SF |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SCU | SF |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 21-12 | 24-10 |
| Conference | 10-5 | 10-6 |
| Home | 14-4 | 14-4 |
| Away | 5-6 | 7-2 |
| Neutral | 2-2 | 3-4 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L2 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 77.3 | 76.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.9 | 67.5 |
| Massey | 7.8 (#67) | 11.1 (#38) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.50 (#68) | 1.97 (#45) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.90 (#66) | 2.90 (#28) |
| RPI | 0.570 (#61) | 0.590 (#37) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SCU | SF |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 49.0% | 45.6% |
| 3PT% | 37.9% | 33.9% |
| REB / G | 35.2 | 38.3 |
| OREB / G | 7.5 | 11.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.30 | 1.00 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 55.1% | 53.1% |
| TOV% | 16.5% | 18.6% |
| ORB% | 23.4% | 31.4% |
| FT Rate | 20.4% | 18.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.3% | 46.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.4% | 18.8% |
| DRB% | 73.5% | 75.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 14.9% | 22.6% |
Game Analysis
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