Betting Lines
| Spread | SF -4.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 145.5 Over |
| Money | SF -185 SCU +155 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SF win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SF +3 | 191 | Won |
| Massey | SF -5.8 (-2.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 144.2 (+46.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 79% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 83% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SF -5.5 (-2.5) | 142.4 (+48.6) | 70% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SF -5.3 (-2.3) | 142.1 (+48.9) | 71% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SF -6.1 (-3.1) | 140.4 (+50.6) | 73% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | SF -5.6 (-2.6) | 142.1 (+48.9) | 73% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 22, 2026 | SCU 94 – 73 SF |
| Jan 29, 2026 | SCU 88 – 73 SF |
| Jan 12, 2025 | SCU 77 – 54 SF |
| Mar 3, 2024 | SCU 69 – 62 SF |
| Feb 11, 2024 | SF 71 – 70 SCU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SF | SCU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 25-10 | 21-13 |
| Conference | 13-5 | 12-6 |
| Home | 17-2 | 12-5 |
| Away | 5-5 | 6-5 |
| Neutral | 3-3 | 3-3 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 5-0 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 76.2 | 81.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.6 | 73.0 |
| Massey | 9.2 (#59) | 7.7 (#76) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.65 (#67) | 1.08 (#89) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.19 (#66) | 1.46 (#89) |
| RPI | 0.580 (#55) | 0.577 (#61) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SF | SCU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.6% | 45.5% |
| 3PT% | 36.1% | 35.4% |
| REB / G | 36.8 | 38.6 |
| OREB / G | 10.1 | 12.7 |
| AST / TO | 1.14 | 1.32 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 54.6% | 53.5% |
| TOV% | 18.4% | 17.6% |
| ORB% | 29.5% | 35.1% |
| FT Rate | 25.2% | 21.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 45.4% | 49.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.4% | 18.0% |
| DRB% | 74.0% | 69.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.2% | 23.7% |
Game Analysis
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