Betting Lines
| Spread | SF -8.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 150.5 Under |
| Money | SF -450 SCU +320 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SF win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SF +1 | 141 | Won |
| Massey | SF -8.3 (-7.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 147.4 (-6.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 75% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 80% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SF -6.8 (-5.8) | 147.0 (-6.0) | 79% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SF -6.0 (-5.0) | 146.8 (-5.8) | 79% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SF -7.5 (-6.5) | 148.1 (-7.1) | 79% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | SF -7.1 (-6.1) | 149.0 (-8.0) | 78% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 22, 2026 | SCU 94 – 73 SF |
| Jan 29, 2026 | SCU 88 – 73 SF |
| Jan 12, 2025 | SCU 77 – 54 SF |
| Dec 31, 2024 | SF 97 – 94 SCU |
| Mar 3, 2024 | SCU 69 – 62 SF |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SF | SCU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 23-11 | 20-13 |
| Conference | 11-5 | 10-6 |
| Home | 14-2 | 11-4 |
| Away | 6-6 | 5-6 |
| Neutral | 3-3 | 4-3 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 76.2 | 76.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 66.8 | 72.3 |
| Massey | 8.5 (#70) | 3.6 (#115) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.37 (#74) | 0.90 (#108) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.71 (#76) | 0.99 (#113) |
| RPI | 0.551 (#94) | 0.526 (#126) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SF | SCU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 48.8% | 46.0% |
| 3PT% | 34.1% | 35.5% |
| REB / G | 34.6 | 38.3 |
| OREB / G | 9.7 | 11.8 |
| AST / TO | 1.26 | 1.13 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 55.6% | 52.9% |
| TOV% | 18.0% | 19.0% |
| ORB% | 30.7% | 34.3% |
| FT Rate | 19.1% | 21.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.6% | 48.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.6% | 15.0% |
| DRB% | 77.1% | 72.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 25.7% | 23.4% |
Game Analysis
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