Betting Lines
| Spread | SCU -2.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 151.5 Under |
| Money | SCU -145 SF +125 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SCU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SCU +23 | 131 | Won |
| Massey | SCU -3.6 (+19.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 154.9 (-23.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 55% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 55% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SCU -3.3 (+19.7) | 152.7 (-21.7) | 68% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SCU -3.0 (+20.0) | 151.3 (-20.3) | 66% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SCU -3.3 (+19.7) | 150.4 (-19.4) | 65% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | SCU -2.9 (+20.1) | 151.6 (-20.6) | 68% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 22, 2026 | SCU 94 – 73 SF |
| Jan 29, 2026 | SCU 88 – 73 SF |
| Dec 31, 2024 | SF 97 – 94 SCU |
| Mar 3, 2024 | SCU 69 – 62 SF |
| Feb 11, 2024 | SF 71 – 70 SCU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SCU | SF |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 21-13 | 25-10 |
| Conference | 12-6 | 13-5 |
| Home | 12-5 | 17-2 |
| Away | 6-5 | 5-5 |
| Neutral | 3-3 | 3-3 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 81.9 | 76.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 73.0 | 69.6 |
| Massey | 7.5 (#76) | 7.8 (#73) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.19 (#78) | 1.72 (#59) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.53 (#80) | 2.16 (#62) |
| RPI | 0.570 (#61) | 0.578 (#51) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SCU | SF |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.0% | 47.1% |
| 3PT% | 35.0% | 36.4% |
| REB / G | 38.9 | 36.1 |
| OREB / G | 12.5 | 10.5 |
| AST / TO | 1.34 | 1.17 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 54.0% | 55.2% |
| TOV% | 17.1% | 17.6% |
| ORB% | 34.2% | 30.5% |
| FT Rate | 22.5% | 25.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.0% | 47.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.6% | 19.4% |
| DRB% | 70.7% | 71.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.1% | 24.8% |
Game Analysis
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