Betting Lines
| Spread | SCU -9.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 150.5 Over |
| Money | SCU -520 SF +390 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SCU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SCU +15 | 161 | Won |
| Massey | SCU -11.4 (+3.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 151.7 (+9.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 89% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 94% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SCU -12.1 (+2.9) | 147.1 (+13.9) | 85% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SCU -10.9 (+4.1) | 146.6 (+14.4) | 85% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SCU -11.6 (+3.4) | 146.8 (+14.2) | 86% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | SCU -10.7 (+4.3) | 148.0 (+13.0) | 85% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 22, 2026 | SCU 94 – 73 SF |
| Jan 12, 2025 | SCU 77 – 54 SF |
| Dec 31, 2024 | SF 97 – 94 SCU |
| Mar 3, 2024 | SCU 69 – 62 SF |
| Feb 11, 2024 | SF 71 – 70 SCU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SCU | SF |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 26-9 | 17-16 |
| Conference | 15-3 | 8-10 |
| Home | 14-1 | 10-6 |
| Away | 8-3 | 4-7 |
| Neutral | 4-5 | 3-3 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 82.9 | 73.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 73.5 | 73.8 |
| Massey | 12.9 (#43) | 4.7 (#107) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.14 (#46) | 0.64 (#112) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 3.12 (#36) | 1.05 (#102) |
| RPI | 0.604 (#34) | 0.522 (#126) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SCU | SF |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 47.0% | 43.7% |
| 3PT% | 33.4% | 35.7% |
| REB / G | 36.1 | 37.6 |
| OREB / G | 13.4 | 11.2 |
| AST / TO | 1.41 | 1.26 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 54.5% | 52.1% |
| TOV% | 17.2% | 16.4% |
| ORB% | 38.4% | 32.5% |
| FT Rate | 19.3% | 26.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.5% | 48.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 21.0% | 13.7% |
| DRB% | 68.7% | 72.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 28.3% | 22.6% |
Game Analysis
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