Betting Lines
| Spread | SCU -6.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 158.5 Over |
| Money | SF +260 SCU -325 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SF win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SCU +21 | 167 | Lost |
| Massey | SCU -8.3 (-12.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 156.5 (+10.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 20% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 13% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SCU -8.0 (-13.0) | 151.7 (+15.3) | 23% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SCU -6.7 (-14.3) | 151.4 (+15.6) | 29% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SCU -7.4 (-13.6) | 150.9 (+16.1) | 25% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | SCU -6.9 (-14.1) | 153.0 (+14.0) | 26% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 29, 2026 | SCU 88 – 73 SF |
| Jan 12, 2025 | SCU 77 – 54 SF |
| Dec 31, 2024 | SF 97 – 94 SCU |
| Mar 3, 2024 | SCU 69 – 62 SF |
| Feb 11, 2024 | SF 71 – 70 SCU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SF | SCU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 17-16 | 26-9 |
| Conference | 8-10 | 15-3 |
| Home | 10-6 | 14-1 |
| Away | 4-7 | 8-3 |
| Neutral | 3-3 | 4-5 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 73.9 | 82.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 73.8 | 73.5 |
| Massey | 2.8 (#127) | 14.1 (#41) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.38 (#133) | 2.25 (#39) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.62 (#118) | 3.11 (#39) |
| RPI | 0.505 (#174) | 0.598 (#33) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SF | SCU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.0% | 47.4% |
| 3PT% | 34.1% | 34.3% |
| REB / G | 36.2 | 35.5 |
| OREB / G | 11.0 | 12.9 |
| AST / TO | 1.27 | 1.49 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.8% | 55.0% |
| TOV% | 15.9% | 16.0% |
| ORB% | 31.8% | 36.6% |
| FT Rate | 28.7% | 19.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.6% | 51.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 13.4% | 20.8% |
| DRB% | 72.0% | 68.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.4% | 28.3% |
Game Analysis
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