Betting Lines
| Spread | ARIZ -14.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 153.0 Over |
| Money | WASH +700 ARIZ -1100 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | WASH win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | ARIZ +24 | 160 | Lost |
| Massey | ARIZ -17.5 (-6.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 151.6 (+8.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 9% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 4% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | ARIZ -13.9 (-10.1) | 155.3 (+4.7) | 18% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | ARIZ -11.0 (-13.0) | 151.3 (+8.7) | 17% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | ARIZ -11.4 (-12.6) | 150.5 (+9.5) | 16% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | ARIZ -10.8 (-13.2) | 153.5 (+6.5) | 20% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 24, 2024 | ARIZ 91 – 75 WASH |
| Jan 28, 2023 | ARIZ 95 – 72 WASH |
| Jan 6, 2023 | ARIZ 70 – 67 WASH |
| Jan 4, 2022 | ARIZ 95 – 79 WASH |
| Feb 27, 2021 | ARIZ 75 – 74 WASH |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | WASH | ARIZ |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 17-15 | 33-4 |
| Conference | 11-9 | 18-2 |
| Home | 11-6 | 17-0 |
| Away | 3-7 | 9-3 |
| Neutral | 3-2 | 7-1 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 5-0 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.6 | 84.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.3 | 68.1 |
| Massey | 2.0 (#133) | 22.6 (#2) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.04 (#98) | 3.91 (#2) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.03 (#109) | 4.76 (#2) |
| RPI | 0.542 (#101) | 0.650 (#4) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | WASH | ARIZ |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 40.8% | 48.4% |
| 3PT% | 31.8% | 33.8% |
| REB / G | 33.4 | 43.9 |
| OREB / G | 10.9 | 12.6 |
| AST / TO | 0.88 | 1.44 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 46.2% | 54.6% |
| TOV% | 16.8% | 18.6% |
| ORB% | 28.1% | 36.5% |
| FT Rate | 23.6% | 24.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.7% | 42.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 23.5% | 18.5% |
| DRB% | 65.3% | 72.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.2% | 14.0% |
Game Analysis
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