Betting Lines
| Spread | ARIZ -24.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 154.0 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | ARIZ win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | ARIZ +16 | 174 | Won |
| Massey | ARIZ -32.3 (-16.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 151.9 (+22.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | ARIZ -23.8 (-7.8) | 163.1 (+10.9) | 90% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | ARIZ -21.6 (-5.6) | 158.7 (+15.3) | 91% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | ARIZ -26.7 (-10.7) | 157.5 (+16.5) | 91% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | ARIZ -24.7 (-8.7) | 158.7 (+15.3) | 90% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 24, 2024 | ARIZ 91 – 75 WASH |
| Jan 28, 2023 | ARIZ 95 – 72 WASH |
| Jan 6, 2023 | ARIZ 70 – 67 WASH |
| Feb 12, 2022 | ARIZ 92 – 68 WASH |
| Feb 27, 2021 | ARIZ 75 – 74 WASH |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | ARIZ | WASH |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 33-4 | 17-15 |
| Conference | 18-2 | 11-9 |
| Home | 17-0 | 11-6 |
| Away | 9-3 | 3-7 |
| Neutral | 7-1 | 3-2 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 84.0 | 70.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 68.1 | 72.3 |
| Massey | 24.7 (#1) | -3.2 (#232) |
| Bradley-Terry | 3.30 (#12) | -0.29 (#203) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 4.38 (#13) | -0.32 (#202) |
| RPI | 0.659 (#9) | 0.469 (#231) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | ARIZ | WASH |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 49.4% | 39.0% |
| 3PT% | 34.7% | 28.5% |
| REB / G | 43.8 | 34.4 |
| OREB / G | 13.0 | 11.4 |
| AST / TO | 1.66 | 0.70 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 55.9% | 43.6% |
| TOV% | 16.8% | 17.3% |
| ORB% | 37.3% | 28.1% |
| FT Rate | 23.6% | 25.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 42.3% | 47.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.9% | 24.0% |
| DRB% | 72.5% | 65.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 16.3% | 26.6% |
Game Analysis
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