I'm the all night drug prowling wolf who looks so sick in sun / I'm the white man in the Palais "White Man in Hammersmith Palais" - The Clash
Arizona Wildcats
75 74
FINAL Conference
Washington Huskies
Pac-12 Conference · McKale Center at ALKEME Arena · February 27, 2021
Betting Lines
Spread ARIZ -14.5 Away covered
O/U 145.5 Over
Money ARIZ -1400 / WASH +1000
Model Predictions
Spread Total ARIZ win
Actual ARIZ +1 149 Won
Massey ARIZ -16.9 (-15.9)
Massey Totals 146.9 (+2.1)
Bradley-Terry 93%
Weighted B-T 96%
Efficiency Plus ML ARIZ -13.4 (-12.4) 144.3 (+4.7) 87%
Baseline Tuned ML ARIZ -14.7 (-13.7) 143.9 (+5.1) 88%
Baseline ML ARIZ -14.7 (-13.7) 143.3 (+5.7) 88%
Baseline Plus ML ARIZ -15.2 (-14.2) 143.9 (+5.1) 88%

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Feb 24, 2024 ARIZ 9175 WASH
Jan 28, 2023 ARIZ 9572 WASH
Jan 6, 2023 ARIZ 7067 WASH
Feb 12, 2022 ARIZ 9268 WASH
Jan 4, 2022 ARIZ 9579 WASH

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings ARIZ WASH
Overall 17-9 5-21
Conference 11-9 4-16
Home 12-4 4-7
Away 5-5 1-9
Neutral 0-0 0-5
Last 5 3-2 2-3
Streak L1 L4
Avg Pts For 75.4 67.7
Avg Pts Against 68.6 77.4
Massey 11.8 (#33) -2.7 (#206)
Bradley-Terry 1.60 (#61) -0.61 (#218)
W. Bradley-Terry 2.20 (#61) -0.65 (#208)
RPI 0.556 (#76) 0.460 (#239)
Shooting & Four Factors ARIZ WASH
FG% 45.1% 41.6%
3PT% 37.9% 33.1%
REB / G 38.6 31.2
OREB / G 12.0 8.3
AST / TO 1.29 0.77
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 50.8% 48.1%
TOV% 17.5% 19.4%
ORB% 34.8% 23.6%
FT Rate 30.5% 18.1%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 48.7% 50.7%
Opp TOV% 18.2% 17.2%
DRB% 75.4% 64.7%
Opp FT Rate 22.1% 23.8%

Game Analysis

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