Betting Lines
| Spread | ARIZ -8.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 151.5 Over |
| Money | WASH +320 ARIZ -450 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | WASH win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | ARIZ +23 | 167 | Lost |
| Massey | ARIZ -7.5 (-15.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 156.0 (+11.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 24% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 23% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | ARIZ -6.4 (-16.6) | 154.8 (+12.2) | 24% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | ARIZ -5.8 (-17.2) | 153.1 (+13.9) | 29% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | ARIZ -6.2 (-16.8) | 152.6 (+14.4) | 32% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | ARIZ -5.6 (-17.4) | 152.6 (+14.4) | 35% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 24, 2024 | ARIZ 91 – 75 WASH |
| Jan 6, 2023 | ARIZ 70 – 67 WASH |
| Feb 12, 2022 | ARIZ 92 – 68 WASH |
| Jan 4, 2022 | ARIZ 95 – 79 WASH |
| Feb 27, 2021 | ARIZ 75 – 74 WASH |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | WASH | ARIZ |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 16-16 | 28-7 |
| Conference | 8-12 | 14-6 |
| Home | 12-6 | 15-2 |
| Away | 2-9 | 6-4 |
| Neutral | 2-1 | 7-1 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L3 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 69.2 | 81.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 70.3 | 71.1 |
| Massey | 4.4 (#106) | 15.4 (#9) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.06 (#86) | 2.86 (#14) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.26 (#87) | 3.17 (#19) |
| RPI | 0.542 (#95) | 0.641 (#6) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | WASH | ARIZ |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.2% | 48.6% |
| 3PT% | 32.2% | 35.4% |
| REB / G | 34.9 | 41.2 |
| OREB / G | 9.1 | 10.9 |
| AST / TO | 0.82 | 1.32 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.1% | 55.3% |
| TOV% | 20.0% | 19.6% |
| ORB% | 26.9% | 32.2% |
| FT Rate | 23.2% | 27.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 46.6% | 46.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.6% | 16.8% |
| DRB% | 66.9% | 73.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 17.4% | 17.3% |
Game Analysis
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