Betting Lines
| Spread | ARIZ -16.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 166.5 Under |
| Money | ARIZ -2000 WASH +800 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | ARIZ win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | ARIZ +16 | 166 | Won |
| Massey | ARIZ -16.9 (-0.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 172.1 (-6.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 89% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 94% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | ARIZ -15.7 (+0.3) | 166.6 (-0.6) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | ARIZ -14.0 (+2.0) | 169.4 (-3.4) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | ARIZ -14.5 (+1.5) | 170.3 (-4.3) | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | ARIZ -16.2 (-0.2) | 167.2 (-1.2) | 88% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 28, 2023 | ARIZ 95 – 72 WASH |
| Jan 6, 2023 | ARIZ 70 – 67 WASH |
| Feb 12, 2022 | ARIZ 92 – 68 WASH |
| Jan 4, 2022 | ARIZ 95 – 79 WASH |
| Feb 27, 2021 | ARIZ 75 – 74 WASH |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | ARIZ | WASH |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 27-9 | 17-15 |
| Conference | 15-5 | 9-11 |
| Home | 15-1 | 10-6 |
| Away | 7-4 | 5-6 |
| Neutral | 5-4 | 2-3 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 87.1 | 80.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.1 | 77.1 |
| Massey | 23.2 (#2) | 9.5 (#58) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.61 (#12) | 1.16 (#93) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 3.51 (#6) | 1.53 (#92) |
| RPI | 0.635 (#7) | 0.553 (#89) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | ARIZ | WASH |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 49.0% | 47.3% |
| 3PT% | 36.6% | 33.9% |
| REB / G | 43.2 | 36.6 |
| OREB / G | 13.7 | 9.7 |
| AST / TO | 1.61 | 1.24 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 54.8% | 53.3% |
| TOV% | 15.5% | 16.0% |
| ORB% | 36.8% | 28.0% |
| FT Rate | 26.7% | 23.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.1% | 49.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.6% | 16.2% |
| DRB% | 77.0% | 71.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 18.6% | 23.6% |
Game Analysis
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