Betting Lines
| Spread | ARIZ -18.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 154.5 Under |
| Money | ARIZ -4000 WASH +1100 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | ARIZ win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | ARIZ +3 | 137 | Won |
| Massey | ARIZ -20.3 (-17.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 160.5 (-23.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 98% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | ARIZ -15.2 (-12.2) | 156.7 (-19.7) | 89% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | ARIZ -16.5 (-13.5) | 155.9 (-18.9) | 89% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | ARIZ -17.8 (-14.8) | 155.4 (-18.4) | 89% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | ARIZ -16.8 (-13.8) | 155.5 (-18.5) | 88% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 24, 2024 | ARIZ 91 – 75 WASH |
| Jan 28, 2023 | ARIZ 95 – 72 WASH |
| Feb 12, 2022 | ARIZ 92 – 68 WASH |
| Jan 4, 2022 | ARIZ 95 – 79 WASH |
| Feb 27, 2021 | ARIZ 75 – 74 WASH |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | ARIZ | WASH |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 28-7 | 16-16 |
| Conference | 14-6 | 8-12 |
| Home | 15-2 | 12-6 |
| Away | 6-4 | 2-9 |
| Neutral | 7-1 | 2-1 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L3 |
| Avg Pts For | 81.9 | 69.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.1 | 70.3 |
| Massey | 18.4 (#5) | 2.4 (#130) |
| Bradley-Terry | 3.69 (#2) | 0.60 (#120) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 4.41 (#6) | 0.74 (#117) |
| RPI | 0.658 (#3) | 0.537 (#112) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | ARIZ | WASH |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 52.2% | 42.9% |
| 3PT% | 36.2% | 30.3% |
| REB / G | 41.9 | 33.3 |
| OREB / G | 10.3 | 8.9 |
| AST / TO | 1.42 | 0.82 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 58.9% | 48.2% |
| TOV% | 19.0% | 19.1% |
| ORB% | 32.6% | 26.7% |
| FT Rate | 31.6% | 24.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 46.6% | 47.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.1% | 19.8% |
| DRB% | 75.4% | 68.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 16.6% | 18.4% |
Game Analysis
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