Betting Lines
| Spread | NKU -7.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 129.5 Over |
| Money | GB +270 NKU -340 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | GB win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | NKU +9 | 133 | Lost |
| Massey | NKU -4.9 (-4.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 127.6 (+5.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 14% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 14% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | NKU -6.7 (-2.3) | 129.1 (+3.9) | 20% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | NKU -6.0 (-3.0) | 131.2 (+1.8) | 22% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | NKU -5.2 (-3.8) | 132.3 (+0.7) | 22% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | NKU -6.0 (-3.0) | 130.6 (+2.4) | 22% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 8, 2026 | NKU 96 – 76 GB |
| Feb 5, 2026 | GB 87 – 84 NKU |
| Jan 11, 2026 | GB 80 – 78 NKU |
| Feb 15, 2025 | NKU 73 – 60 GB |
| Jan 4, 2025 | NKU 78 – 60 GB |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | GB | NKU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 5-25 | 20-12 |
| Conference | 4-16 | 14-6 |
| Home | 4-9 | 12-4 |
| Away | 1-13 | 7-7 |
| Neutral | 0-3 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 0-5 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 61.2 | 68.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.7 | 65.8 |
| Massey | -11.3 (#326) | -3.3 (#231) |
| Bradley-Terry | -3.12 (#352) | -0.83 (#245) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -3.58 (#350) | -1.17 (#256) |
| RPI | 0.378 (#348) | 0.459 (#246) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | GB | NKU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.4% | 40.4% |
| 3PT% | 26.9% | 33.3% |
| REB / G | 30.2 | 36.5 |
| OREB / G | 8.9 | 13.9 |
| AST / TO | 0.83 | 1.04 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 46.0% | 47.6% |
| TOV% | 19.4% | 19.6% |
| ORB% | 27.1% | 36.6% |
| FT Rate | 23.4% | 18.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.4% | 50.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.9% | 21.2% |
| DRB% | 70.9% | 68.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.1% | 17.4% |
Game Analysis
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