Betting Lines
| Spread | NKU -7.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 141.5 Under |
| Money | GB +260 NKU -320 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | GB win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | NKU +13 | 133 | Lost |
| Massey | NKU -3.8 (-9.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 143.8 (-10.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 19% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 21% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | NKU -5.6 (-7.4) | 143.4 (-10.4) | 31% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | NKU -4.3 (-8.7) | 142.7 (-9.7) | 29% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | NKU -4.0 (-9.0) | 141.6 (-8.6) | 31% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | NKU -4.1 (-8.9) | 143.2 (-10.2) | 35% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 8, 2026 | NKU 96 – 76 GB |
| Feb 5, 2026 | GB 87 – 84 NKU |
| Jan 11, 2026 | GB 80 – 78 NKU |
| Jan 4, 2025 | NKU 78 – 60 GB |
| Feb 15, 2024 | NKU 58 – 57 GB |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | GB | NKU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 4-28 | 17-16 |
| Conference | 2-18 | 11-9 |
| Home | 3-11 | 12-6 |
| Away | 1-17 | 5-10 |
| Neutral | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 0-5 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 69.9 | 70.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 80.6 | 72.2 |
| Massey | -11.7 (#335) | -4.7 (#243) |
| Bradley-Terry | -2.79 (#353) | -0.77 (#243) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -3.01 (#342) | -1.02 (#242) |
| RPI | 0.391 (#344) | 0.461 (#252) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | GB | NKU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.0% | 41.8% |
| 3PT% | 33.4% | 31.7% |
| REB / G | 28.2 | 33.0 |
| OREB / G | 5.0 | 11.2 |
| AST / TO | 1.00 | 1.10 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.9% | 48.2% |
| TOV% | 19.2% | 18.2% |
| ORB% | 16.3% | 31.0% |
| FT Rate | 27.2% | 20.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 55.0% | 53.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 14.4% | 20.6% |
| DRB% | 67.1% | 67.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.6% | 20.7% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.