Betting Lines
| Spread | NKU -12.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 139.5 Under |
| Money | NKU -1000 GB +600 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | NKU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | NKU +18 | 138 | Won |
| Massey | NKU -11.9 (+6.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 145.9 (-7.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 95% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 95% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | NKU -10.0 (+8.0) | 140.6 (-2.6) | 85% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | NKU -9.5 (+8.5) | 144.9 (-6.9) | 86% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | NKU -10.2 (+7.8) | 140.9 (-2.9) | 84% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | NKU -9.8 (+8.2) | 140.8 (-2.8) | 85% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 8, 2026 | NKU 96 – 76 GB |
| Feb 5, 2026 | GB 87 – 84 NKU |
| Jan 11, 2026 | GB 80 – 78 NKU |
| Feb 15, 2025 | NKU 73 – 60 GB |
| Feb 15, 2024 | NKU 58 – 57 GB |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | NKU | GB |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 17-16 | 4-28 |
| Conference | 11-9 | 2-18 |
| Home | 12-6 | 3-11 |
| Away | 5-10 | 1-17 |
| Neutral | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 0-5 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.6 | 69.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.2 | 80.6 |
| Massey | -2.5 (#201) | -10.3 (#330) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.28 (#195) | -2.37 (#337) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.51 (#206) | -2.64 (#326) |
| RPI | 0.482 (#199) | 0.395 (#338) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | NKU | GB |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.5% | 44.6% |
| 3PT% | 31.2% | 32.4% |
| REB / G | 35.5 | 28.5 |
| OREB / G | 11.5 | 5.3 |
| AST / TO | 1.06 | 0.96 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.0% | 52.5% |
| TOV% | 19.3% | 19.3% |
| ORB% | 31.3% | 16.7% |
| FT Rate | 20.9% | 25.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.5% | 55.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.7% | 15.6% |
| DRB% | 69.9% | 65.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 19.5% | 20.8% |
Game Analysis
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