Betting Lines
| Spread | GB -3.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 137.5 Under |
| Money | GB -175 NKU +138 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | GB win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | NKU +1 | 115 | Lost |
| Massey | GB -3.9 (-4.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 137.7 (-22.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 78% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 73% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | GB -3.4 (-4.4) | 140.9 (-25.9) | 67% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | GB -1.9 (-2.9) | 140.7 (-25.7) | 56% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | GB -3.4 (-4.4) | 139.6 (-24.6) | 69% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | GB -3.8 (-4.8) | 140.5 (-25.5) | 68% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 8, 2026 | NKU 96 – 76 GB |
| Feb 5, 2026 | GB 87 – 84 NKU |
| Jan 11, 2026 | GB 80 – 78 NKU |
| Feb 15, 2025 | NKU 73 – 60 GB |
| Jan 4, 2025 | NKU 78 – 60 GB |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | GB | NKU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 18-14 | 18-15 |
| Conference | 13-7 | 12-8 |
| Home | 10-5 | 12-3 |
| Away | 8-8 | 6-11 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 68.6 | 73.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 70.2 | 73.8 |
| Massey | -1.4 (#188) | -1.9 (#202) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.18 (#159) | -0.43 (#213) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.10 (#176) | -0.40 (#209) |
| RPI | 0.525 (#126) | 0.483 (#201) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | GB | NKU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.1% | 45.2% |
| 3PT% | 35.6% | 30.7% |
| REB / G | 33.2 | 33.7 |
| OREB / G | 8.7 | 10.7 |
| AST / TO | 1.00 | 1.05 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 53.6% | 50.2% |
| TOV% | 19.1% | 18.4% |
| ORB% | 27.9% | 30.3% |
| FT Rate | 20.7% | 26.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.8% | 51.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 14.5% | 20.2% |
| DRB% | 72.3% | 67.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.6% | 20.8% |
Game Analysis
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