Betting Lines
| Spread | NKU -3.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 146.5 Over |
| Money | GB +145 NKU -175 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | GB win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | NKU +20 | 172 | Lost |
| Massey | NKU -1.8 (-18.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 148.6 (+23.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 55% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 52% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | NKU -1.3 (-18.7) | 142.8 (+29.2) | 43% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | NKU -2.6 (-17.4) | 144.0 (+28.0) | 34% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | NKU -1.1 (-18.9) | 141.9 (+30.1) | 45% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | NKU -1.4 (-18.6) | 142.7 (+29.3) | 45% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 5, 2026 | GB 87 – 84 NKU |
| Jan 11, 2026 | GB 80 – 78 NKU |
| Feb 15, 2025 | NKU 73 – 60 GB |
| Jan 4, 2025 | NKU 78 – 60 GB |
| Feb 15, 2024 | NKU 58 – 57 GB |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | GB | NKU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 18-15 | 20-14 |
| Conference | 12-8 | 10-10 |
| Home | 10-4 | 12-5 |
| Away | 6-9 | 7-8 |
| Neutral | 2-2 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 73.9 | 80.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 75.9 | 78.7 |
| Massey | -2.8 (#212) | -1.0 (#180) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.07 (#169) | -0.25 (#195) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.28 (#181) | -0.36 (#196) |
| RPI | 0.523 (#129) | 0.498 (#193) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | GB | NKU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 48.0% | 45.6% |
| 3PT% | 36.6% | 32.9% |
| REB / G | 30.6 | 34.1 |
| OREB / G | 7.4 | 11.4 |
| AST / TO | 1.29 | 1.29 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 54.9% | 53.0% |
| TOV% | 16.0% | 16.5% |
| ORB% | 25.3% | 31.7% |
| FT Rate | 32.2% | 25.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.3% | 53.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 13.4% | 19.0% |
| DRB% | 70.9% | 67.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 27.9% | 25.7% |
Game Analysis
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