Betting Lines
| Spread | NICH -6.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 147.0 Over |
| Money | NICH -270 AMCC +220 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | NICH win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | NICH +3 | 163 | Won |
| Massey | NICH -5.8 (-2.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 145.7 (+17.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 69% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 70% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | NICH -6.7 (-3.7) | 146.7 (+16.3) | 76% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | NICH -5.4 (-2.4) | 146.8 (+16.2) | 73% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | NICH -5.1 (-2.1) | 147.4 (+15.6) | 73% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | NICH -4.3 (-1.3) | 148.1 (+14.9) | 70% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 7, 2026 | AMCC 83 – 76 NICH |
| Dec 30, 2025 | NICH 76 – 71 AMCC |
| Feb 25, 2025 | NICH 71 – 69 AMCC |
| Jan 25, 2025 | AMCC 61 – 57 NICH |
| Mar 13, 2024 | NICH 81 – 73 AMCC |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | NICH | AMCC |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 21-12 | 23-12 |
| Conference | 11-3 | 7-7 |
| Home | 11-1 | 9-4 |
| Away | 7-8 | 7-6 |
| Neutral | 3-3 | 7-2 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 75.7 | 73.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 73.4 | 71.2 |
| Massey | -2.0 (#211) | -4.7 (#252) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.63 (#227) | -0.93 (#252) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.94 (#240) | -1.22 (#259) |
| RPI | 0.505 (#171) | 0.435 (#294) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | NICH | AMCC |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.9% | 42.0% |
| 3PT% | 33.3% | 30.9% |
| REB / G | 36.7 | 35.9 |
| OREB / G | 11.3 | 12.8 |
| AST / TO | 0.99 | 0.89 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.0% | 46.9% |
| TOV% | 17.8% | 20.1% |
| ORB% | 30.5% | 34.2% |
| FT Rate | 12.6% | 30.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.5% | 50.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.8% | 24.6% |
| DRB% | 70.5% | 69.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 27.7% | 31.5% |
Game Analysis
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