Betting Lines
| Spread | BUCK -4.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 140.5 Over |
| Money | BUCK -200 HC +170 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | BUCK win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | HC +6 | 150 | Lost |
| Massey | BUCK -4.9 (-10.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 145.4 (+4.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 65% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 70% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | BUCK -2.9 (-8.9) | 144.9 (+5.1) | 58% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | BUCK -3.4 (-9.4) | 144.2 (+5.8) | 65% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | BUCK -3.8 (-9.8) | 143.9 (+6.1) | 63% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | BUCK -2.8 (-8.8) | 146.1 (+3.9) | 61% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 22, 2026 | HC 72 – 63 BUCK |
| Dec 31, 2025 | HC 65 – 58 BUCK |
| Mar 1, 2025 | BUCK 94 – 81 HC |
| Jan 16, 2025 | BUCK 86 – 82 HC |
| Feb 22, 2024 | HC 73 – 59 BUCK |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | BUCK | HC |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 9-23 | 9-22 |
| Conference | 5-13 | 7-11 |
| Home | 7-6 | 5-9 |
| Away | 2-15 | 4-11 |
| Neutral | 0-2 | 0-2 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L4 |
| Avg Pts For | 71.2 | 63.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 79.4 | 72.0 |
| Massey | -12.0 (#334) | -13.8 (#347) |
| Bradley-Terry | -2.08 (#322) | -2.18 (#327) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.63 (#328) | -2.90 (#339) |
| RPI | 0.391 (#339) | 0.388 (#341) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | BUCK | HC |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.5% | 41.1% |
| 3PT% | 35.9% | 32.3% |
| REB / G | 32.6 | 32.4 |
| OREB / G | 7.2 | 9.8 |
| AST / TO | 0.99 | 0.68 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.4% | 45.6% |
| TOV% | 19.9% | 18.7% |
| ORB% | 22.1% | 27.3% |
| FT Rate | 21.2% | 21.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.6% | 54.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 13.4% | 18.0% |
| DRB% | 70.7% | 70.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 17.4% | 19.3% |
Game Analysis
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