Betting Lines
| Spread | BUCK -2.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 142.5 Under |
| Money | BUCK -148 HC +124 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | BUCK win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | HC +9 | 135 | Lost |
| Massey | BUCK -1.3 (-10.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 138.7 (-3.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 65% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 67% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | HC -0.2 (-8.8) | 135.9 (-0.9) | 44% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | BUCK -1.3 (-10.3) | 135.4 (-0.4) | 60% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | BUCK -1.0 (-10.0) | 134.2 (+0.8) | 50% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | BUCK -0.3 (-9.3) | 134.6 (+0.4) | 45% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 31, 2025 | HC 65 – 58 BUCK |
| Mar 1, 2025 | BUCK 94 – 81 HC |
| Jan 16, 2025 | BUCK 86 – 82 HC |
| Feb 22, 2024 | HC 73 – 59 BUCK |
| Jan 4, 2024 | BUCK 70 – 58 HC |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | BUCK | HC |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 10-23 | 11-22 |
| Conference | 6-12 | 5-13 |
| Home | 6-8 | 6-8 |
| Away | 4-13 | 4-14 |
| Neutral | 0-2 | 1-0 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 67.4 | 67.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 76.3 | 74.8 |
| Massey | -12.7 (#335) | -11.1 (#324) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.97 (#328) | -2.09 (#338) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.54 (#333) | -2.67 (#337) |
| RPI | 0.425 (#320) | 0.402 (#349) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | BUCK | HC |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.4% | 43.9% |
| 3PT% | 30.3% | 32.5% |
| REB / G | 31.2 | 30.5 |
| OREB / G | 9.0 | 7.1 |
| AST / TO | 1.01 | 1.03 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.0% | 50.0% |
| TOV% | 19.0% | 15.4% |
| ORB% | 26.2% | 21.8% |
| FT Rate | 23.9% | 23.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 54.9% | 55.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.7% | 14.3% |
| DRB% | 68.4% | 72.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 27.2% | 20.5% |
Game Analysis
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